Don't tell Mystery this, but finding a suitable mate may be a science, not an art.That's what one hard-up economist explores in his paper, "Why I Don't Have a Girlfriend: An Application of the Drake Equation to Love in the U.K.," in which he uses a brainy math formula to estimate the number of potential girlfriends in London.
His findings are less than encouraging.
The lovelorn economist is Peter Backus, a native of Seattle and a fourth year PhD candidate and Teaching Fellow in the Department of Economics at the University of Warwick, near London.
His offbeat paper, which he devised after a three-year girlfriend drought, is based on the Drake Equation, which is normally used to estimate the number of highly evolved civilizations that may exist in our galaxy.
The equation, which might make you nauseous, states that:

Yeah, we have no idea what it means either. But Backus does. And he decided to put the formula to work for romantic purposes. "It seemed like a natural thing to do," says Backus in an exclusive interview with Asylum. "Basically, it was a way of quantifying my dismay."
Backus reimagined the equation by inserting U.K. population figures along with the general parameters for his potential girlfriend: a woman between the age of 24 and 34, with a university degree, whom he finds attractive. Simple enough. But there are complications. First, the woman in question must find him attractive (a 1-in-20 chance, he estimated). Second, she must herself be single (50-50). Lastly, he must get along with her (1-in-10).
The result of the equation? Of the roughly 30 million women in the U.K., only 26 are potential mates for Backus. In his conclusion to the paper, Backus expresses this more depressingly: "On a given night in London, there is a 0.0000034 percent chance of meeting one of these special people."
But somehow, he did just that. Asylum is pleased to report that Backus now has a girlfriend of about six months. "She's from London," he says. "And she meets all my criteria."
If you've come up empty in your own search for a significant other, Backus's research should give you some measure of solace that being girlfriend-less doesn't necessarily make you a loser. But maybe it's time to move out of your parents' house.
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Comments:
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Monday 11 January
By E. Foley - Geek's Dream Girl
Those numbers seem a bit more dismal than they should be... I know plenty of girls who would be all over this guy!
Reply
Monday 11 January
By Countess Lydia Havenshorth
Egads! This Peter Backus is one delicious morsel! I need not any mathematical equation to know the dames in England must be daft. I want to check out his PhD, asap.
Reply
Monday 11 January
By WriterGuy
its not hard mathematics. 2 inches is a pretty easy equation to understand why there has been such a drought.
Reply
Tuesday 12 January
By chad
2 inches would be a constant not an equation. newb.
Tuesday 12 January
By boybunny
He's a nerd... he is overestimating his chances with women.
Reply
Tuesday 12 January
By Dew
"Stolen"? That's a bit of stretch isn't it? Big Bang Theory didn't exactly invent the Drake Equation. Anyone can use it.
Reply
Wednesday 13 January
By tomclarkehotmail
Yes, but they stole it from How I Met Your Mother's "scientific dating agency".
Reply
Tuesday 12 January
By Chiga
"at the University of Warwick, near London."
Geography fail
Reply
Tuesday 12 January
By Jay
He's not a math geek, he's the lowest of pseudo-science lifeforms: economists. What he used is hardly complicated mathematics.
Reply
Tuesday 12 January
By LeggyBlonde
Gorgeous, intelligent and super funny... This guy's new girlfriend is one lucky lady!
Reply
Tuesday 12 January
By Math4lames
This is just an excuse not to make progress in your life...
Reply
Tuesday 12 January
By b
he's pretty hot, i would be his girlfriend! ;P
Reply
Tuesday 12 January
By Clio Andris
Hey Peter,
Your equation is unnecessarily dismal. Any girl would agree that if you guys got along, the likelihood of her finding you attractive increases by a lot. Conversely, if she finds you attractive, she's gonna try harder to get along with you.
I suggest you dive into some conditional probability, invoke Bayes' Law, and acknowledge the increased likelihood of your findings. However, I'm sure she's one in a gazillion.
Reply
Tuesday 12 January
By j
On top of this being simple math, he did the math wrong. That equation only works if all of those factors are independent of one another. Since most of them are not independent (e.g. attractiveness and liklihood of being single are not independent), the equation is simply wrong.
Reply
Tuesday 12 January
By Eros
Agreed. Unless you take a note from Plato and are somehow able to prove that there is such a thing as one universal Form of attractiveness(beauty)outside of the metaphysical sense AND you can somehow quantify this universal attractiveness, equating any subjective human notion becomes impossible due to the large degree of individuality humans can exhibit.
Wednesday 13 January
By Paul
Agreed. Anyone with a bit of quantitative or analytical sense can clearly see through this. I could have written that equation in two seconds on the bus. Jeez, what it takes to make the news these days is incredible. People just hear the word "equation" and get intimidated...
Saturday 22 May
By Suman Bhowmick
Yes you have suggested the right thing, cause they should be always independent otherwise the relationship will not follow according to Drake Equation.
Wednesday 13 January
By kdizzydaze
I remember the equation we used in middle school that worked it went something like:
Ad=Hm * (mA)
In essence, the angle of the dangle equals the heat of the meat as long as the mass of the ass is constant - or something like that . Nahh - I'll go with Peters theory.
Reply
Wednesday 13 January
By r
maybe he is an idiot or a jerk when you get to know him which might be why he does not have a girl ever think of that good looking guys and girls sometimes can be just jerks to be with...
Reply
Wednesday 13 January
By Kim
I think he looks like a great guy. I can use some help with my college algebra, maybe that would be a start :)
Reply